College Football Pick’em Week 9 By The Numbers

I’m not as creative as Armando when it comes to themes. I just know how to look at stats and make numbers bigger…

Purdue @ #18 Michigan
16 – The Boilermakers are coming off an upset of reeling Illinois while Michigan took the week off after their loss to in-state rival Michigan State. Many of the key stats between these two look very similar. Purdue passes, Michigan runs, defense are at about the same level. But, I think the number that matters here is Shoelace’s. Purdue QB Charlie TerBush showed that he can lead his team in last week’s win. But when you talk about a guy with the playmaking intangible, there’s few guys in the country that can do it like Robinson, even though he’s not putting up the same numbers as last season.
Michigan by 10

#13 South Carolina @ Tennessee
133.71 – The Gamecocks’ top-ranked pass defense will be showing a rowdy Neyland Stadium crowd how they they plan to welcome true freshman QB Justin Worley to the SEC. Keeping the Vols offense on their heels all day will be the best way for South Carolina to stay in the game as they adjust to life without Marcus Lattimore. Having the bye week gave them some time to get freshman Brandon Wilds ready to go at running back. If Tyler Bray was healthy for Tennessee, this would likely be a little closer game. It will be a beneficial week for South Carolina to get them realigned for their push to an SEC East title.
South Carolina by 7

#5 Clemson @ Georgia Tech
+9 – With all of the offensive firepower in this matchup, it’s Clemson’s turnover margin that may make the difference. They’re plus-9 on the season, with 7 of their 17 turnovers gained coming from fumbles. They have 10 picks too, but c’mon, Tech doesn’t throw the ball enough to really make this a worry. And Tech’s lost seven fumbles this year. Momentum will be very important and Clemson’s got the defensive prowess to force the game in their offenses’ favor.
Clemson by 14

#6 Stanford @ #20 USC
104th – That’s where the USC secondary ranks in pass defense. Now granted, Stanford’s ranking isn’t much better (81st), however Andrew Luck is one of the best passers in the nation and Stanford’s offensive line does not let him get touched. Luck’s gone down just twice in their seven games. If the Trojans can’t get pressure, they’ll have a time trying to contain his recievers and this one could go to a shootout. Side note: Matt Barkley to Robert Woods will be entertaining to watch no matter how the score goes.
Stanford by 9

#9 Oklahoma vs. #8 Kansas State
671 – That’s how many pass yards the Wildcats have allowed in their last two games. That should give Landry Jones some holes to throw into. Yes, Kansas State has the best defense in the Big 12 (337 ypg allowed), but they’ve given up big time yardage when facing the conference’s top passers (346 to Robert Griffin III and 461 to Seth Doege). That should say all that needs to be said. Kansas State’s pace could make this a much closer game though. It all depends on how much time their RB’s give Oklahoma on the field. Also, Oklahoma has dropped back-to-back Big 12 games since 1998.
Oklahoma by 3

#22 Georgia vs. Florida at Jacksonville
101.86 – The Bulldogs rank 6th in total defense and their 101 yards allowed is the 18th-best mark in the nation. John Brantley returns for the Gators and he’s got his work cut out for him. Florida’s offense has been struggling with the best success coming on the ground, thanks to Chris Rainey. For all of the QB instability that Florida’s had, Georgia’s been solid with Arron Murray settling into the role very well. Florida needs to get the offense back on track, having Brantley back will help, or they’ll find themselves staring at a .500 season fast.
Georgia by 4

Syracuse @ Louisville
218 – Ryan Nassib’s yards per game average. He’s also got 15 touchdowns on the year. There’s not a ton of offense coming out of these teams so far, and the Orange will be facing the Big East’s top defense. If Louisville looked like they could move the ball with confidence, then I’d be looking at them. But their wins have been far less impressive. The Cardinals are getting the oddsmakers’ nod, but that’s home field advantage at work.
Syracuse by 7

Baylor @ #3 Oklahoma State
+15 – Another turnover number. We all know about the Cowboys offensive prowess. What’s not as publicized is their FBS-best turnover margin. And that’s what they’ll need to slow down the #2 offense in the nation. Their #3 offense will get going no matter what. Griffin doesn’t make many mistakes with the ball (2 INTs) but if there was a team that was going to crack him, it would be the Cowboys (15 picks, tied for most in the FBS).
Oklahoma State by 13

#11 Michigan State @ #14 Nebraska
88.86/261 – That’s the yardage Michigan State’s allowed on the ground and what Nebraska has been gaining. #8 pass D against the #7 rush O. Nebraska has found a way to get their yards, even when facing top rushing defenses in Wisconsin and Ohio State. Michigan State has given up about season averages to the top rushing offenses that they’ve faced (220 last week to Wisconsin). And they needed that miracle Hail Mary to take that win. I may be reducig this one too much, but after a bye week, I think Nebraska will do enough to grind out the clock, contain Kirk Cousins and make the Legends Division very interesting.
Nebraska by 7

#15 Wisconsin @ Ohio State
110th – That’s what the Buckeyes rank in total offense. They found a way to win against Illinois, but as they continue to slide, questions are raised about how big an accomplishment that win was. Russell Wilson has been solid in conference and even though the defense for the Buckeyes is good, it only means so much when the offense can’t get going. Too much from the Badgers.
Wisconsin by 14

The rest of the Bangers pick come tomorrow. One of these weeks I’ll add up the actual numbers so we know where we all stand going into November.

Game Armando TJ
South Carolina vs. Tennessee South Carolina South Carolina
Stanford vs. USC Stanford Stanford
Syracuse vs. Louisville Syracuse Syracuse
Purdue vs. Michigan Michigan Michigan
Michigan State vs. Nebraska Michigan State Michigan State
Clemson vs. Georgia Tech Clemson Clemson
Georgia vs. Florida Florida Georgia
Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Oklahoma State Oklahoma State
Oklahoma vs. Kansas State Kansas State Oklahoma
Wisconsin vs. Ohio State Wisconsin Wisconsin

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