Running late and sounding great (It’s a radio thing, I know it doesn’t make sense here) here’s a quick rundown of this week’s college picks and tomorrow morning we’ll get Armando and TJ’s picks up.
#10 Oregon (-625) at Arizona
The Ducks squeaked out a win in 2OT last time in Tucson, but that was a different team offensively. The Wildcats are coming off a brutal stretch with Oklahoma State and Stanford in back-to-back weeks. Nick Foles has been very impressive, but he leads the 5th best pass offense against the 10th best pass defense. Problem is Arizona allows 174 rushing yards a game and Oregon averages 261. The Ducks grind out their first Pac-12 win of the year behind a monster game from LaMichael James.
Casey’s Pick: Oregon
San Diego State at #22 Michigan (-425)
Brady Hoke welcomes his old team to the Big House and both defenses have a tough assignment ahead of them. The Aztecs need to figure out how to bottle up Denard Robinson while the Wolverines will try to stop Ronnie Hillman, the most underrated back in the country. Both rush defenses have been porous while the secondaries have been much better. Robinson is improving as a passer every week and showing more poise in the pocket. Shoelace torches SDSU and Hoke gives his old team a good look at his extended middle digit.
Casey’s pick: Michigan
#11 Florida State at #21 Clemson (-140)
I admit being down on the Tigers after they struggled with Wofford two weeks ago. They turned it around and proved me wrong by ending Auburn’s winning streak. They have a high-powered offense and a good secondary. Without EJ Manuel, this may be a far different Seminole team and something else to consider: the visitor is 1-8 in the last 9 years. I like the Noles, but this is my upset special this week.
Casey’s pick: Clemson
#14 Arkansas at #3 Alabama (-400)
Will Trent Richardson be able to get going against a rough Razorback front seven? I’m thinking so. Even if he doesn’t have a big game, just moving the ball may be enough. Arkansas’s passing attack is 8th in the country, but they haven’t seen a secondary like Alabama’s. Defense wins championships and tomorrow it wins home games.
Casey’s Pick: Alabama
Colorado at Ohio State (-725)
The Buckeyes just looked bad against Miami. The defense will be tested against a good QB in Tyler Hansen and the Braxton Miller will be getting his first collegiate start in an attempt to get something going on offense. I like Miller and what he brings to the table. Plus, I’m a homer.
Casey’s pick: Ohio State
Notre Dame (-280) at Pittsburgh
The Irish are coming off a beating of Michigan State while Pitt is reeling after giving up that tremendous 4th quarter comeback by Iowa last week. Any offensive mysteries for the Irish may have been solved thanks to another solid performance by QB Tommy Rees. The fact that Pitt is almost dead last in passing defense makes me think that their rushing attack won’t matter. They’ll get dropped if the defense doesn’t make stops early and often.
Casey’s pick: Notre Dame
#2 LSU (-240) at #16 West Virginia
Speed, speed and more speed. That’s the way to sum up LSU’s killer D that’s allowed just over 200 total yards a game. The offense hasn’t been as explosive as it could be, but it’s been enough thanks to their front seven. WVU’s high powered spread will be tested, but I’ll go back to what I said before about defense.
Casey’s pick: LSU
#7 Oklahoma State at #8 Texas A&M; (-190)
Casey’s pick: Texas A&M;
#23 USC vs. Arizona State (-140)
Casey’s pick: USC
North Carolina vs. #25 Georgia Tech (-260)
Casey’s pick: North Carolina